by dario-amodei, demis-hassabis
AGI arrives within 1-5 years through AI systems building AI systems—the urgent question isn't whether we'll get there but whether humanity can navigate the technological adolescence of job displacement, geopolitical competition, and autonomous systems without destroying ourselves.
by anthropic
AI's productivity gains shrink dramatically when you account for task reliability—Anthropic's new 'economic primitives' reveal that complex tasks show greater speedup but lower success rates, and AI disproportionately affects higher-skilled work.
by john-maynard-keynes
Keynes' 1930 essay predicting that by 2030, technological progress would raise living standards 8x and reduce the workweek to 15 hours—freeing humanity from 'the economic problem' but raising new questions about purpose.